Health

New Fertility Calculator Estimates Chances of Natural Pregnancy

Published: 15 September 2026 · 1 min read

What Happened

Researchers from University of Aberdeen and NHS Grampian have developed a calculator that estimates the likelihood of a couple conceiving naturally before pursuing IVF treatment. The tool was built using data from 7,086 couples with fertility problems and found that 13% of couples diagnosed with infertility went on to achieve a natural pregnancy resulting in a live birth within a year. The study identified female age, duration of infertility and blocked fallopian tubes as key factors that reduce natural conception chances.

Key Takeaways

The calculator is designed to give couples personalized, evidence-based estimates of their chances of having a baby without treatment, helping them make more informed decisions about IVF and other fertility options. Researchers say it could prevent some couples from pursuing costly and invasive treatments earlier than necessary while identifying those who may benefit from faster intervention.

Sources

Medicalxpress