Weak Monsoon Spell Likely in September, Says IMD
What Happened
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast below-normal rainfall in September, with precipitation expected to remain below 91% of the long-period average (LPA). Most parts of the country are likely to receive deficient rainfall, while average temperatures are expected to stay above normal. The warning comes after August rainfall was 16.3% below normal, amid strengthening El Niño conditions.
Key Takeaways
Weak September rains could hurt yields of key crops such as rice, soybean, cotton, corn and pulses, while also reducing soil moisture needed for winter crop planting. A prolonged dry spell may tighten food supplies, keep food inflation elevated, and increase pressure on reservoirs and water resources.